man in black suit leaning on white table

Social Security Increase Prediction: 2023



The Consumer Price Index for Wage Earners & Clerical Workers (CPI-W) for August was released earlier this week. While inflation did slow compared to the earlier parts of the year, it hasn’t subsided by any means. In fact, the Federal Reserve is probably going to give interest rates a rather large hike to combat this persistent trend.

Raise for seniors

Based on the CPI-W change from the 3rd quarter of the previous year, the Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) for Social Security is determined. According to most sources, the best estimate is now an 8.7% increase, which will be effective on January 1st. The official numbers won’t be announced until mid-October, but nonetheless, experts don’t expect the numbers to change drastically over the next month.

Who else is impacted

The COLA impacts various groups, including military retirees and those receiving veterans benefits. Federal retirees get either a COLA or a diet-COLA, depending on which retirement system they fall under. A diet-COLA is just like it sounds: a reduced version of the full COLA. Make sure you know which system you fall under and how it impacts your benefits.

What to do now

In short: NOTHING! Don’t change your spending habits based on a prospective pay raise. Hang on, see how the inflation numbers shake out over the next month or so, and then start budgeting. It’s likely you’ll need the increased amount as virtually all costs are increasing globally.

If you’re getting kind of antsy in the meantime, check out our YouTube page. This will give you plenty to think about for 2023!


  • D.C. Poc

    D.C. joined the Marine Corps right out of high school. When he left active duty after 5 years of service, he quickly earned a bachelors degree and an MBA. He got his first private sector job at a modest salary and quickly worked his way up through promotions. Once he started making decent money ($38k at the time), he quickly realized he needed to learn how to save for his future. After nearly ten years of research and application, he wants to share his knowledge and financial best practices so more people can become Wealthy Idiots!


All of our content is FREE! But if you feel like helping us out, we would greatly appreciate it!